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Archive for May, 2010

May Tax Receipts Could Lessen Budget Hole By $500 Million

Although a final tally on refund requests won’t be known until the May 31, it still appears, as of May 28, the state will take in more than it expected for the month.

Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s Department of Finance estimates net income tax collections of $2 billion for May.

Through May 27, withholding – the tax payments employers take out of employee checks and send to the state – stands at $2.7 billion, according to the Employment Development Department.

The Franchise Tax Board reports receiving $477 million in additional income tax payments. Combining the two, May income tax receipts are nearly $3.2 billion.

Refund requests total $709 million but could climb because they are tallied last.

But, month-to-date, total receipts less refunds is just under $2.5 billion, giving the state $500 million in budgetary relief.

Bank and corporation tax collections for May were predicted to be $224 million. The Franchise Tax Board reports gross receipts of $340 million and refund requests of $40 million for a net of $310 million — $86 million above estimates.

Greater-than-anticipated revenue helps the budget process in two ways:

It lessens the $19.1 billion cash shortfall the state and pushes off the date when the state’s stream of cash will begin to dry up, estimated now to be mid-to-late August by the Legislative Analyst if no budget is enacted before then.

June is a much more important month. The GOP governor expects more than $5.5 billion in income tax receipts and $2.1 billion in bank and corporation tax payments.

Previously, June represented 10 percent of the income tax payments for the state’s fiscal year.

But in an effort to pull more future income into the current and previous fiscal year, the 2009 budget front-loaded estimated tax payments so that 40 percent, rather than 25 percent, are due in June.

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Carpet-Bombing Continues — Campaign Consultants Rejoice

PG&E1PG&E2(Editor’s Note: A review on the Secretary of State’s website of the late and $5,000 or more contributions received by the “Yes on 16/ Californians to Protect Our Right to Vote” campaign shows that Pacific Gas & Electric has, so far, donated $50.6 million. Logic suggests such an investment by the investor-owned utility would  likely be made for self-interest rather than a selfless desire to protect voters from profligate decisions by their locally elected representatives. These are voters who, even without passage of Proposition 16, are free to vote out any or all of those elected officials should they make bad decisions.)

When Isn’t A Politician Not a Representative and Vice Versa

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(Editor’s Note: Merriam-Webster’s top three definitions of a politician are, in descending order:

“A person experienced in the art or science of government, especially one actively engaged in conducting the business of a government.”

“A person engaged in party politics as a profession.” And:

“A person primarily interested in political office for selfish or other narrow, usually short-sighted, reasons.”

Turning again to Merriam-Webster, a “representative,” as used as a noun in this slate mailer is:

“One that represents another or others.”

“One that represents a constituency as a member of a legislative body.”

“A member of the house of representatives of the United States Congress or a state Legislature.”

“One that represents another as agent, deputy, substitute, or delegate usually being invested with the authority of the principal.”Slate2

The purpose of the slate mail creator – Citizens for Representative Government 2010 of Redondo Beach – appears to be to use the third, most pejorative definition of politician and contrast that with the fourth definition of representative.

Representative, good. Politician, bad.

With the possible exception of Larry Aceves, a retired school superintendent running for state schools chief, every individual on the front of the mailer is a politician, at least within the meaning of the first two definitions.

They receive the benefit of the doubt on the “experienced in the art or science of government” issue.

All are also representatives. All but one are present or former members of a legislative body and the one who isn’t is still a representative.

Barbara Alby is a former GOP Assemblywoman. Mike Villines, is a GOP Assemblyman from Fresno. Sam Aanestad, a Republican state senator from Grass Valley, is flanked by arguably the most experienced person in the art or science of government on the page – GOP Rep. Tom McClintock of Granite Bay who, despite routine railings against government waste, has had a taxpayer-financed job for 26 of the past 30 years.

Steve Cooley, Los Angeles’ Republican District Attorney, is a politician and represents the “people” when they bring legal action against wrongdoers.

On the back, ignoring the local sheriff candidates and the ballot propositions, GOP Controller candidate Tony Strickland is a state senator who previously served six years in the Assembly. Mimi Walters, a GOP state senator, previously served four years in the Assembly.

Damon Dunn, a Stanford University graduate, former player in the National Football League and now owner of a real estate firm, is the only candidate on the slate mail for statewide office who is not a politician. Nor is he a representative. He’s just a wannabe.

As denoted by the asterisks next to their names, all of the candidates with photographs paid the creator of the Citizens for Representative Government Voter Guide to be included.)

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Healthy May Income Tax Showers Create Budgetary Flowers

All budget news isn’t grim – tax collections for May appear to be coming in nearly $400 million above estimates.

That helps provide the Legislature and GOP Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger with more cash to close the state’s $19.1 billion cash shortfall and pushes off the date when the state’s stream of cash will begin to dry up, estimated now to be mid-to-late August by the Legislative Analyst if no budget is enacted before then.

Schwarzenegger’s Department of Finance estimates net income tax collections of $2 billion for May.

Through May 26, withholding – the tax payments employers take out of employee checks and send to the state – stands at $2.5 billion, according to the Employment Development Department.

The Franchise Tax Board reports receiving $462 million in additional income tax payments. Combining the two, May income tax receipts are nearly $3 billion.

However, there are also requests for nearly $700 million in refunds.

Nonetheless the net – total receipts less refunds — is still $2.3 billion, almost $300 million above the Schwarzenegger administration’s estimate with five days left in the month.

Bank and corporation tax collections for May were predicted to be $224 million. The Franchise Tax Board reports gross receipts of $345 million and refund requests of $39 million for a net of $306 million — $82 million above estimates.

June, however, is a significantly more important month. The GOP governor expects more than $5.5 billion in income tax receipts and $2.1 billion in bank and corporation tax payments.

Previously, June represented 10 percent of the income tax payments for the state’s fiscal year.

But in an effort to pull more future income into the current and previous fiscal year, the 2009 budget front-loaded estimated tax payments so that 40 percent, rather than 25 percent, are due in June.

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Correction…

(Editor’s Note:  In the May 25 post below — “It’s What Ducheny Said, Not What Senate Democrats Propose” — the apparently chronically inaccurate chief correspondent of California’s Capitol says Sen. Denise Ducheny is the “dean” of the Legislature. That is not true and the post has been modified accordingly.

As the term is commonly used, “dean” means the sitting lawmaker with the longest amount of state legislative experience. While Ducheny is in her 14th year — six in the Assembly and eight in the Senate — her tenure is eclipsed by that of Assemblyman Charles Calderon, a Montebello Democrat, who has 20 years of state legislative experience.

Calderon previously served in the Assembly from 1982 to 1990. He was elected to the Senate and served two four-year terms before being forced from the Legislature in 1998 by term limits. He was elected to an Assembly seat in 2006 where he is concluding his second two-year term.

While not the “dean” in terms of legislative longevity, Ducheny is indisputably the most knowledgeable lawmaker about the intricacies and interplay of the state budget.

However, this does not ameliorate the error, which California’s Capitol regrets, nor the creation of a second personnel file to contain the latest in the chief correspondent’s steady stream of reprimands.)

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It’s What Ducheny Said, Not What Senate Democrats Propose

Sen. Denise Ducheny said a number of important things at the May 24 hearing of the Senate Budget and Fiscal Review, Subcommittee Number 5.n103832450078_7042

Unfortunately, Ducheny’s reasoned and revealing remarks were largely drowned out by a cacophony of carping by GOP lawmakers and others over the recommendation by Senate Democrats that 25 percent of the state’s $19.1 billion budget shortfall be filled with revenue rather than cuts in social services and health programs. (See Page 12 of the Subcommittee Agenda.)

What Ducheny says is important for a number of reasons, not the least being she chairs the upper house’s budget committee and, for the past three abysmal budget years, has spearheaded legislative efforts to staunch the state’s red ink.

Ducheny, a San Diego Democrat, has spent six years in the Assembly and is completing her eighth and final year in the Senate. Her length of service has given her  a breadth of knowledge, budgetary and otherwise, and a gift for practical problem solving.

For example, while Republican senators denounced the Democrats’ recommendation that $4.9 billion in revenue be used to help close the budget gap as another illustration of their “tax-and-spend” mantra, Ducheny politely explained to anyone within earshot of Hearing Room 113 what was actually going on.

“There needs to be a concerted conversation,” Ducheny said of how the budget must be resolved.  Her “experience in the building,” she said, is that the only way to do that is to “make everybody really mad.”

For all the ink and air time devoted to “Senate Democrats Propose $4.9 billion in Taxes,” it was clear from Ducheny’s remarks – and past budget history – that the final budget may or may not include higher taxes and, if taxes are increased, it might not be the ones Ducheny’s subcommittee recommended.

“The governor chose from Group A,” Ducheny said of GOP Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s proposal to close nearly two-thirds of the budget gap with spending cuts. “We choose from Group B.”

In other words, the negotiations over a final budget have begun. The governor set his priorities in the budget he proposed May 14. Now legislative Democrats counter.

The largest chunk of the revenue increases offered by Senate Democrats is to postpone the effective date of two tax changes benefiting larger corporations for two years and continue for another two years the ban on businesses writing off prior year losses against tax year profits.

Doing so saves the state $2 billion in the fiscal year beginning July 1 and an additional $1.5 billion the following year.

In his January budget, Schwarzenegger proposed doing the same thing except for one year. He now says he no longer supports doing that.

“After the largest tax increase in our state’s history we cannot ask California taxpayers to continue to pay for Sacramento’s mistakes,” said Aaron McLear, Schwarzenegger’s press secretary.

During the subcommittee hearing, Ducheny said the thinking behind the two-year delay and continued suspension is that the next fiscal year and the following one have the most uncertainty.

While she didn’t say it out loud her experience – and that of her staff – causes them to realize that even as an economy recovers the state budget lags behind – that’s what happened under Gov. Pete Wilson in 1994 and 1995 and at the beginning of Schwarzenegger’s term in 2004 after the recession of following the bursting of the Dot Com bubble.

Ducheny did say that federal economic stimulus funds that helped blunt some of the cuts the state would have needed to make to balance its books begin to run out next year.

Temporary tax increases approved in the February 2009 budget also begin to expire as well.

In response to complaints by a lobbyist for the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association about the regressive nature of the proposed tax increases, Ducheny pointed out that Democrats are not extending the 1-cent sales tax increase set to expire at the end of the next fiscal year for that reason.

The sale tax is considered regressive because lower income Californians pay the same percentage as wealthier Californians. The income tax is progressive – liability increased along with the amount of taxable income.

Accordingly, Senate Democrats maintain a .25 percent surcharge on state income taxes for two years and maintain the dependant tax credit at $102 – down from $319 for two years.

Senate Democrats also boost vehicle license fees for two years from 1.15 percent to 1.5 percent, starting July 1.

Under the proposal the owner of a $30,000 car would pay $100 more annually. License fees can be deducted on federal taxes.

In the face of lobbyists arguing for the corporate tax breaks to go into effect as scheduled Ducheny said that under the budget state programs were being asked to hold steady for two years and that was the same thing being asked of the tax break’s beneficiaries.

“Right now they score it as costing me $2 billion,” Ducheny said of the price tag Schwarzenegger’s budget writers have attributed to the tax law changes. “There’s absolutely no sense in not suspending them for at least one year.”

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An Alternative Computation of the State’s Budget Shortfall

This is excerpted from the May 24 edition of Cal-TaxReports, published by the California Taxpayers’ Association:

What Is the True Deficit?

The $19.1 billion deficit estimate is comprised of a current year shortfall of $7.7 billion, a budget year shortfall of $10.2 billion and a reserve of $1.2 billion.

However, the estimate is based on the usual budget math of determining what the government would like to spend and comparing that to available revenue. In this case, it is based on the assumption that the state budget should grow 14 percent, from $87.3 billion in 2009-10 to $99.5 billion in 2010-11.

Because the state is unable to sustain this enormous increase in spending, it is called a deficit.

Instead, what if the budget deficit was measured by what was actually spent in 2009-10 plus a reasonable (cost-of-living-allowance of) 2.2 percent for Consumer Price Index growth and 1 percent for population growth?

Using this method to compute the deficit, the difference between revenue and spending would be $7 billion, $83.1 billion in revenue and $90.1 billion in spending.

Because of an accounting gimmick moving a state payroll date to July 1 to put it in the next fiscal year, 2009-10 expenditures contain only 11 months of state payroll. To restore payroll to a 12-month number, $930 million should be added to the 2009-10 spending base.

Additionally, the raid on local agency property taxes for 2009-10 artificially reduced school spending by $1.7 billion for one year.

To adjust 2009-10 spending for these gimmicks, a figure of $89.9 billion could be used as a surrogate for 2009-10 spending. Adjusting for population and inflation would produce a $92.7 billion spending figure. The difference between this number and available revenue would produce a $9.6 billion deficit.

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(Editor’s Note: Truth is in the eye of the beholder. “Reform” for one political entity could mean “ruination” to another. First, since California is precluded by law from running a deficit, as Cal-Tax calls it,  the word shortfall will be substituted. Turning to Cal-tax’s estimate of California’s shortfall, it’s size would certainly shrink sharply using the methodology articulated in Paragraphs 4 and 5.

However, it would violate current law.

That’s what Cal-Tax means by “the usual budget math of determining what the government would like to spend.”

The Schwarzenegger administration is quick to note that’s its calculation is not of what it wants to spend but of what costs must be considered in developing a spending plan.

This is what’s known as a “workload” or “baseline” budget. What comprises a workload budget is laid out in detail in Government Code Section 13308.05.

A more reader-friendly definition of it is contained in the glossary on the website of Schwarzenegger’s Department of Finance:

“Workload Budget means the budget year cost of currently authorized services, adjusted for changes in enrollment, caseload, population, statutory cost-of-living adjustments, chaptered legislation, one-time expenditures, full-year costs of partial-year programs, costs incurred pursuant to constitutional requirements, federal mandates, court-ordered mandates, state employee merit salary adjustments, and state agency operating expense and equipment cost adjustments to reflect inflation.”

So while the task of budget writers might be greatly simplified by using Cal-Tax’s approach to defining the shortfall, that’s not an option without a statutory change. To which, hopefully, Cal-Tax would grumble: “There oughta be a law.”)

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More Asterisks Means More Money for California Voter Guide

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Consumers Might Learn the Identity of the “Absentee Florist”

bouquet-brightsWhile California isn’t close to closing its $17.9 billion budget gap between revenues and spending commitments, it is a step closer to outlawing “absentee florists.”

For the second legislative session in a row, Assemblywoman Mary Salas is carrying a bill that would prevent a “vendor of floral or ornamental products or services” – as defined – from misrepresenting the location of their business.

The problem Salas’ bill aims to solve is that consumers can call a florist with their city or neighborhood in its name that is actually a call center  “located thousands and thousands of miles away,” as the Chula Vista Democrat recently told the 80-member Assembly which sent her bill, AB 2076, to the Senate on a bipartisan 71 to 5 vote.

“A consumer has a right to know if they’re doing business with a local company,” Salas said in defense of her measure, noting that many Californians prefer to support local or state businesses over out-of-state ones.

Twenty-six other states have similar truth-in-floral-advertising laws. Among them are Pennsylvania and New Jersey. Minnesota, the 26th state, has its law take effect on August 1.

According to Salas and her bill’s sponsor, the California State Floral Association, consumers are “duped” by out-of-state call centers into thinking they are purchasing flowers at a local florist.

Salas and the association argue that California customers who unwittingly do business with an out-of-state call center get less for their money and deprive the state of sales tax revenue.

The example the association uses is a buyer orders a $50 floral arrangement. The call center rakes off $21 and $29 goes to the local florist who actually delivers the flowers. Sales tax is levied only on the in-state florist’s end of the transaction, a 42 percent reduction in sales tax.

Under Salas’ bill, a florist could not use a local telephone number in an advertisement if calls to it are routinely transferred to another location and the advertisement doesn’t show the actual physical location of the business.

Nor could a florist use a fictitious business name is it misrepresents the business’ real location and doesn’t show the physical address of the business.

“Floral or ornamental products or services” are defined as “floral arrangements, cut flowers, floral bouquets, potted plants, balloons, floral designs, and related

products and services.”

Combating “absentee florists” has been a more than a decade long battle. In 1998, the Federal Trade Commission issued a “Consumer Alert” called Petal Pushers: Is Your ‘Local’ Florist Really Long-Distance? which said, among other things:

“Some unscrupulous telemarketing firms are posing as local florists, charging you higher fees and taking business away from legitimate florists in your town.”

Legislation like Salas’ has been introduced in Sacramento since 1999 when Assemblyman George House, a Hughson Republican, carried the first such measure. Assemblyman George Nakano, a Long Beach Democrat, took up the fight in 2001. Salas herself introduced a similar measure in 2007.

In vetoing House’s bill, then Gov. Gray Davis, a Democrat, said:

“While this bill might help to eliminate consumer confusion, it ignores the realities of a global economy where companies located all over the world compete globally for customers.”

Davis waxed more poetic in vetoing Nakano’s measure, asking:

“Even if it were appropriate to restrict floral businesses in such a fashion, how would a local business name be defined?  How many miles away from the Pacific coast would a business have to be located before it could not use the word “Pacific” in its name?

The measure would be “problematic to define and enforce,” Davis concluded, adding that it would “create a slippery slope of unnecessary restrictions on all kinds of businesses.”

In vetoing Salas’ previous measure, GOP Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger said, much like Davis before him, that in the global economy “it is unreasonable to limit out-of-area businesses from using local names and telephone numbers.  In virtually every aspect of the economy, consumers are accustomed to purchasing products from around the world via many methods.”

It appears nothing has changed in the content of Salas’ measure to change the governor’s mind.

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No Mailers Like This from the GOP Candidate After June 8

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